Pagination does not work

Hi guys!
I’m trying to put pagination on the THE MORNING AFTER template… But it does not work. Here’s the code:

<?php
$paged = (get_query_var('paged')) ? get_query_var('paged') : 1;

$the_query = new WP_Query('cat=-' .$catid. ',-' .$catid2. ',-2705&showposts=10&offset=1&orderby=post_date&paged=' .$paged. '&order=desc');

while ($the_query->have_posts()) : $the_query->the_post();

$do_not_duplicate = $post->ID; ?>

Where’s the problem…?