Coronavirus Spread Prediction Tools Free Version

Description

What Can You Do With This Plugin?

Using this plugin, you can simulate the outcome of a pandemic, using your own input parameters. The plugin generates charts and tables for better understanding of generated results.
Go ahead and simulate how the SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus causing the COVID-19 disease (Wuhan China Outbreak or Pandemic) can spread over the entire globe, with this Coronavirus Spreading Prediction Tool. You can use it to test your own scenarios, enter your own parameters for the virus, or use real live data provided by the CDC / WHO to add an outbreak outcome simulation (tables and charts) to your own personal website!

You can embed tables and charts with the prediction of the evolution of the spreading of a global or regional pandemic. – It can also use iframes to automatically embed dashboards from WHO and Johns Hopkins, to track in real time the progress of the outbreak. The goal is to achieve the following:
COVID-19 Coronavirus – Viral Pandemic Prediction Tools will automatically create prediction tables and charts

Features included in the free version:

  • Show modeling tables and graphs of possible outcomes of a pandemic
  • Graph for modeling new infected cases and new deaths for the period of the pandemic
  • Graph for modeling total infected cases and total deaths for the period of the pandemic
  • Graph for modeling total population decline, over time
  • Graph for modeling total death count, over time
  • Table with detailed data on the ongoing of the pandemic (columns detailing: date, day count, new infected count, total infected count, new death count, total death count, population alive count)
  • You can set your own pandemic parameters, including: starting population, start date, initial infected count, immune and unkillable elite in bunkers, infection rate, incubation period, mortality rate, mortality complicator, disease burnout rate
  • Gutenberg blocks available
  • And many more cool features!

Features included in the full version of the plugin:

  • Embed Official Pandemic Tracking Dashboard from Johns Hopkins Institute
  • Embed Official Pandemic Tracking Dashboard from WHO
  • Allow your web site’s visitors to enter their own data to simulate the outcome of pandemics
  • Pandemic summary charts and tables
  • Sample past outbreaks data, to use in the plugin (SARS-CoV-2, MERS, SARS, Spanish Flu, Common Flu)
  • Detailed documentation, with parameter explanations
  • New updates and features added regularly
  • Premium support
  • And many more cool features!

Check the full version of the plugin, here: COVID-19 Coronavirus – Viral Pandemic Prediction Tools WordPress Plugin

Parameter Explanations:

Starting Population – The starting population for the outbreak/pandemic. This can be the population of the globe, your country, city or even university.
Elite in Bunkers and Immune – This is the number of people that will never get sick – because they are naturally immune or they are hiding in bunkers or are fully isolated from the infected population.
Start Date – This is the date when the first patient is infected.
Initial Infections – The number of initial infections that occurred on the start date.
Infection Rate (R0) – The number of additional people that are infected by a single patient that already has the virus (during the incubation period).
Incubation Period (Days) – The average time from becoming infected to showing thee first symptoms.
Mortality Rate (Percentage) – How many people die of the virus as a percentage of those who become infected (an average death rate).
Mortality Complicator (Percentage) – This will increase the ‘Mortality Rate’ where there is a large number of new infected in a short period of time and is based on the increasing likelihood of mortality as more of the health care system becomes overwhelmed (more and more severe and critical cases that need medical help to survive, in a short period of time).
Virus Burnout Rate (Percentage) – This represents a reduction of the ‘Infection Rate’ over time – it represents the increased quarantine measures, progress with discovering a cure or vaccine and fewer healthy hosts to infect.

Documentation:

Please check the documentation of this plugin, here: CodeRevolution’s Documentation Portal.

Some more info on pandemic spreading and epidemiology:

Public health efforts depend heavily on predicting how diseases such as that caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus, now named COVID-19 by the World Health Organization, spread across the globe. During the early days of a new outbreak, when reliable data are still scarce, researchers turn to mathematical models that can predict where people who could be infected are going and how likely they are to bring the disease with them. These computational methods use known statistical equations that calculate the probability of individuals transmitting the illness.
How fast a disease spreads is determined by calculating a reproduction number, or R0. The WHO estimates the coronavirus R0 at somewhere between 1.4 and 2.5. WHO also reports that 12-21 percent of the people with the virus became critically ill, and 2-3 percent of those infected have died.
The R0 refers to the average number of people a sick person will infect. So, if a virus has an R0 of 2, patient zero will likely infect two people, and then those two people will each infect two more people. The cycle repeats. If an RO is greater than 1, the infection will likely continue to spread. If it is below 1, it is unlikely to spread further.

Footnotes:

This plugin was made by Szabi from CodeRevolution. He sells his premium plugins and scripts on Envato Market. Be sure to check his work @CodeRevolution. Be sure to check his blog and YouTube channel for updates and news.

Plugin Requirements

PHP 5.2 or higher

Screenshots

  • Table results example
  • Graph results example 1
  • Graph results example 2
  • Plugin's main menu

Blocks

This plugin provides 6 blocks.

coronavirus-spread-prediction-graphs-free/cspgf-time
COVID-19 Spread Prediction Table
coronavirus-spread-prediction-graphs-free/cspgf-nidg
COVID-19 New Infected New Death Chart
coronavirus-spread-prediction-graphs-free/cspgf-tidg
COVID-19 Total Infected Total Death Chart
coronavirus-spread-prediction-graphs-free/cspgf-pgraph
COVID-19 Population Decline Chart
coronavirus-spread-prediction-graphs-free/cspgf-dgraph
COVID-19 Total Deaths Chart
coronavirus-spread-prediction-graphs-free/cspgf-ui
Coronavirus Spread Prediction Tools Free Version

Installation

  1. Upload the plugin files to the /wp-content/plugins/plugin-name directory, or install the plugin through the WordPress plugins screen directly.
  2. Activate the plugin through the ‘Plugins’ screen in WordPress
  3. Use the Settings->Plugin Name screen to configure the plugin
  4. (Make your instructions match the desired user flow for activating and installing your plugin. Include any steps that might be needed for explanatory purposes)

FAQ

Where do I find the full version of this plugin?

Please check the plugin’s full version, here: https://1.envato.market/covid19

What additional features will I get in the full version?

You will have the ability to embed the official dashboards from Johns Hopkins institute and WHO, directly in your site. You will also benefit of additional charts, summary tables and data, modeling the outbreak you simulate.

What is a pandemic?

A disease doesn’t have to infect all of the globe to be a pandemic. Lots of people, over broad swaths of territory, will suffice.
The World Health Organization defines pandemic as the worldwide spread of a new disease. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention offers a definition that is a bit more elastic, describing it as a disease that spreads across regions.

Who would declare a pandemic?

An official declaration would come from the WHO, though the agency may be reluctant to unleash this term anytime soon.
The WHO was harshly criticized when the 2009 flu pandemic turned out to be much less severe than people had feared. Rather than feeling relieved the pandemic wasn’t causing large numbers of deaths, people felt aggrieved they’d been scared over something they later concluded was far less scary than expected. And governments that had contacts to buy pandemic vaccine — contracts that were triggered by the WHO’s declaration — were left on the hook for vaccine many people didn’t want.
In other words, the term can be a loaded one. But if this virus is discovered to be spreading in an unstoppable fashion in countries on several continents, infectious disease experts will use the P word — whether the WHO officially declares a pandemic or not.

Where is the outbreak predicted to spread?

Further imported cases into any location that has travellers from is occurring. Wherever there is an infected person, there is the potential for the virus to spread to people in close contact with them and local outbreaks can occur.
The World Health Organization assesses the risk as very high within China, and high regionally and globally.

Reviews

March 25, 2020
Greetings, thanks, excellent plugin. Puerto Rico was working but now there is this message "Failed to fetch data, maybe there is no data in your selected country, or the API is temporarily inaccessible."
Read all 2 reviews

Contributors & Developers

“Coronavirus Spread Prediction Tools Free Version” is open source software. The following people have contributed to this plugin.

Contributors

Changelog

1.0